Domestic airlines may post higher losses: CAPA

Source: The Hitavada      Date: 04 Sep 2018 09:59:01



Business Bureau

THE domestic airlines industry is expected to post higher losses at USD 1.65-1.90 billion this fiscal year, up from projected USD 430-460 million, amid the headwinds due higher costs and lower yields, a report said.

Besides, airlines need to raise over USD 3 billion in near-term based on June quarter estimates, with full service carriers requiring around USD 2.6 billion, while the low-cost peers needing USD 400 million, the India unit of Sydney-based Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation (CAPA) Monday said in its Mid-Year Aviation Outlook 2019. Full service carriers are critically placed and could lose USD 1.75-2 billion in the current fiscal largely because of their uncompetitive cost base on domestic operations and a lack of profitability on international routes, it said.

Government-owned Air India, Jet Airways and Vistara are the three full service domestic airlines. Stating that traffic growth continues unabated but the financial outlook has deteriorated dramatically since January, the report said, “At that time (since January) CAPA India forecast a consolidated industry loss of USD 430-460 million, subject to oil remaining below USD 70/barrel and the US dollar exchange rate at Rs 65-67.”
“Our revised forecast is for an industry loss of USD 1.65-1.90 billion in FY2019. These projections assume oil at USD75-80/barrel and the exchange rate at Rs 70-72,” it added.
CAPA estimates that though three budget carriers’ - IndiGo, GoAir and SpiceJet - full-year result is likely to range between break-even modest profitability, the possibility of a full-year loss can’t be ruled out.