THERE are no signs of the two ongoing conflicts -
- Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Hamas -- dying down
soon. Apart from the fears of escalation and disruption of global supply chains affecting the economics, the world needs to give a thought to the
psycho-geopolitical weariness about the prolonged nature
of the conflicts.
In the inter-connected world of today, any conflict anywhere in the world causes disruption with ripple effect forcing others into taking sides. The Russia-Ukraine as well as
Israel-Hamas conflicts have divided the world. But, now,
the world has grown weary about these conflicts.
Already, there are several other conflicts mainly arising
out of territorial disputes and cross-border terrorist activities. But, those have become more of localised events where
matters are brought to discussion tables too. However,
Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Hamas have become more prolonged. The troops of all the sides involved in these two
conflicts also are tired, if the reports are to be believed.
The
countries whose supplies got affected due to these two frictions are waiting for the tiff to be over soon. For, the supply chain disruptions have adversely affected the costs of
supplies. Some countries which tried to explore the option
of alternative supply routes found new routes to be costlier. So, they are stuck -- between meeting needs of their
people and higher costs of supply. Hence, more than taking ideological sides, several countries of the world are more
concerned about long-term psycho-geopolitical impacts.
If this phase of psycho-geopolitical weariness continues
to extend because of the two major conflicts getting prolonged further, it will bring many countries of the world to
think about thinking of establishing newer supply routes,
irrespective of the higher costs involved. They will look for
stable supply routes. In the process, many countries will
not mind burying the differences between them for the time
being or ironing out the minor differences of opinion over
certain bilateral issues.
This may give rise to change in the
nature of existing groupings or rise of new groupings altogether. Already, many countries are finding good the Indian
idea of Global South consolidation and practice of multilateralism, they will be happier to resonate with the Indian
idea of ‘co-operation, not conflict’.
Of course, such a situation will benefit India in enhancing its global image as a responsible power and also in expanding trade ties with the spirit of togetherness. Obviously, such
a situation may not be liked by the dominating world powers, who have prided themselves in taking credit for shaping the World Order so far. Nonetheless, if these dominating powers have failed miserably in curtailing the ongoing
conflicts in the world, and have, in fact, added fuel to the
fire, more and more nations buying the idea of multilateralism andvying for co-operating with India cannot be avoided. In the given circumstances, such a situation will be the
product of time. It, too, will do good to the world.
For the time being, it is in the interest of every country to
strive for dousing the flames of Russia-Ukraine and IsraelHamas conflicts, which threaten to engulf Europe and the
Middle East respectively. Not to prolong these conflicts to
the extent of escalation is in the interest of humanity, which
has been striving for peaceful co-existence.